血清白蛋白与球蛋白比值对发热患儿川崎病发病风险的预测价值

Predictive value of albumin-globulin ratio for the risk of Kawasaki disease in febrile children

  • 摘要: 目的探讨发热患儿的血清白蛋白与球蛋白比值(A/G)对预测川崎病(KD)发病风险的价值。方法采用单中心回顾性队列设计,基于某三甲医院大数据平台,收集432例0~16岁发热患儿的临床与实验室检查数据,根据其血清A/G的四分位数及中位数将其分为4组,分析A/G与发热患儿KD发病的相关性。结果432例发热患儿KD的总发病率为14.4%(62/432)。A/G与KD的发病呈负相关,每增加0.1的A/G,KD的发病风险降低18%(OR=0.82,95% CI 0.76~0.88, P < 0.001)。亚组分析显示,不同年龄、性别及生化指标的患儿,A/G与KD发病之间的负相关趋势均一致。结论A/G可能是预测发热患儿KD发病的有效生物学标志物。随着A/G的上升,KD的发病风险逐渐降低。这一发现对KD的早期诊断和风险评估具有潜在的临床应用价值。

     

    Abstract: Objective To evaluate the predictive value for serum albumin-globulin ratio (A/G) for the risk of Kawasaki disease (KD) in febrile children. Methods In this single-center retrospective cohort study, the big-data platform of a certain third-tier A-level hospital was employed. Clinical and laboratory data of 432 febrile children aged 0-16 were collected. The children were divided into 4 groups based on the quartiles and median of their serum A/G ratios. The correlation between the A/G and the risk of KD was analyzed. Results The total incidence rate of KD in 432 children with fever was 14.4% (62/432).A significant negative correlation was observed between the A/G and the risk of KD. For each increase of 0.1 in the A/G, the risk of KD was decreased by 18% (OR=0.82, 95% CI 0.76-0.88, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed a consistent negative correlation between the A/G and KD risk across different ages, genders, and biochemical markers. Conclusions A/G may be a useful biomarker for assessing the risk of KD in febrile children. As the A/G increases, the risk of KD is gradually decreased. This finding has potential clinical application value for early diagnosis and risk assessment of KD.

     

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