Abstract:
Objective: To compare the value of acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ(APACHE Ⅱ) score,Ranson score and extrapancreatic inflammation on abdominal ?computed tomography(EPIC) score in predicting outcomes of patients with acute pancreatitis(AP). Methods: One hundred and ninety-eight patients diagnosed as AP with completed data were studied. Among 198 patients,sixty were severe acute pancreatitis(SAP) and others were mild acute pancreatitis(MAP). The value of APACHE Ⅱ score, Ranson score and EPIC score were assessed using by receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve in predicting severity and complications of AP. Results:Among 198 patients, the APACHE Ⅱ score,Ranson score and EPIC score were significantly higher in SAP group than those in MAP group (all P<0.01). EPIC score had the best sensitivity,specificity and the area under ROC curve (AUROC) for predicting SAP, and had the greatest AUROC to predict local complications. However, the APACHE Ⅱ score had the greatest AUROC to predict systemic complications. Conclusion:In patients with AP,combined EPIC score and APACHE Ⅱscore can estimate outcomes accurately within 24 h of admission, but the Ranson score has no advantages.