PCT、NLR、N/LPR对重症急性胰腺炎并发急性肾损伤的预测价值

Value of PCT, NLR and N/LPR in predicting acute kidney injury in patients with severe acute pancreatitis

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨降钙素原(PCT)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)以及中性粒细胞计数与淋巴细胞和血小板计数比值(N/LPR)对重症急性胰腺炎(SAP)患者并发急性肾损伤(AKI)的预测价值。 方法 回顾性收集120例SAP患者作为研究对象。根据患者入院7 d是否发生AKI,分为AKI组和非AKI组,比较2组患者临床基线资料和实验室指标水平,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价PCT、NLR、N/LPR对SAP患者并发AKI的预测价值。 结果 与非AKI组患者相比,AKI组患者CRP、PCT、NLR、N/LPR、乳酸水平更高(P < 0.05),白蛋白水平更低(P < 0.05)。多因素分析显示,PCT、NLR、N/LPR是SAP并发AKI的独立危险因素(P < 0.05)。ROC曲线分析显示,PCT、NLR、N/LPR、NLR+PCT、N/LPR+PCT、N/LPR+NLR、N/LPR+NLR+PCT预测SAP并发AKI的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.750、0.773、0.882、0.842、0.884、0.910、0.925。DeLong检验显示,N/LPR预测AKI的AUC值高于NLR和PCT(P均< 0.05),NLR和PCT无差异(P > 0.05)。不同指标联合试验预测AKI的AUC值与单独检测N/LPR无差异(P均> 0.05)。亚组分析显示,PCT≥5.5 ng/mL组SAP患者AKI发生率高于PCT < 5.5 ng/mL组;NLR≥12.72组SAP患者AKI发生率高于NLR < 12.72组;N/LPR≥11.11组SAP患者AKI发生率高于N/LPR < 11.11组(P均< 0.05)。 结论 N/LPR对SAP并发AKI有较好的预测价值,优于NLR和PCT,尚未发现联合检测对AKI 的预测价值优于单独检测 N/LPR。

     

    Abstract: Objective To evaluate the value of procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil-to-lymphocytes ratio (NLR), neutrophil to lymphocyte and platelet ratio (N/LPR) in predicting acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). Methods A total of 120 SAP patients were retrospectively collected. According to whether AKI occurred within 7-d hospital stay, all SAP patients were divided into the AKI and non-AKI groups. Clinical baseline data and laboratory parameters were compared between two groups. The predictive value of PCT, NLR and N/LPR for AKI in SAP patients was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results In the AKI group, the C-reactive protein (CRP) level, PCT level, NLR, N/LPR and lactic acid level were significantly higher (all P < 0.05), whereas the albumin level was significantly lower (P < 0.05) compared with those in the non-AKI group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PCT, NLR and N/LPR were the independent risk factors for SAP complicated with AKI (all P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of PCT, NLR, N/LPR, NLR+PCT, N/LPR+PCT, N/LPR+ NLR and N/LPR+ NLR+ PCT for predicting AKI were 0.750, 0.773, 0.882, 0.842, 0.884, 0.910 and 0.925, respectively. DeLong test indicated that the AUC of N/LPR for predicting AKI was significantly higher than that of NLR and PCT (both P < 0.05), whereas no significant difference was observed between NLR and PCT (P > 0.05).In addition, the AUC of different parameters combined for predicting AKI did not significantly differ from that of N/LPR alone ( all P > 0.05). Subgroup analysis revealed that the incidence of AKI in SAP patients with PCT of ≥5.5 ng/mL was significantly higher than that in their counterparts with PCT of < 5.5 ng/mL. The incidence of AKI in SAP patients with NLR of ≥12.72 was significantly higher compared with that in their counterparts with NLR of <12.72. The incidence of AKI in SAP patients with N/LPR of≥11.11 was significantly higher than that in their counterparts with N/LPR of < 11.11 (all P < 0.05). Conclusions Compared with NLR and PCT, N/LPR yields higher predictive value for AKI in SAP patients. It has not been found that the predictive value of different parameters combined for AKI is better than that of N/LPR alone.

     

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